Equinor Energy AS (Stavanger, Norway), gas transmission system operator OGE and thyssenkrupp Steel Europe AG (Duisburg) have concluded their joint feasibility study started in October 2019 and will continue their cooperation on the topic going forward. The three partners’ goal is to evaluate the possibility to supply thyssenkrupp Steel’s Duisburg site with blue hydrogen to allow for significant CO2 reductions via a nearly climate-neutral steel production in the short- and mid-term – when other types of hydrogen, especially green, are expected not to be available in sufficient quantities to meet the demand.
The study finds that the decarbonized production and supply of “blue” hydrogen from natural gas to Germany’s largest steel plant in Duisburg is technically feasible. Going forward, the partners intend to continue working on further details and build the basis for potential investment decisions.
The partners are convinced that blue hydrogen as a reliable and available technology has the potential to ramp up the European hydrogen market. Especially taking into consideration the recent decision by the EU to set more ambitious climate targets for 2030, blue hydrogen can play a significant role going forward as a viable and early source for nearly climate-neutral hydrogen in large quantities and therefore in achieving these goals. The intended large volumes of blue hydrogen can support establishing the necessary hydrogen pipeline infrastructure and a hydrogen economy ramp up. Thus, blue hydrogen is complementary to other hydrogen production technologies and can function as a catalyst.
The study’s premise has been the production of hydrogen from natural gas with permanent offshore storage of CO2 accrued in the process. The study has evaluated several options for sourcing and transport of hydrogen to thyssenkrupp’s Duisburg steel production site as well as options for transport and storage of CO2.
Considering potential sites for hydrogen production, the study has confirmed three locations as principally suitable for a hydrogen plant: A potential production site on the Dutch coast in Eemshaven and two other potential sites on the German North Sea coast. With regard to production capacity, two scenarios have been evaluated: 1.4 GW and 2.7 GW. The locations identified require additional technical detailing as well as further evaluation of available space for the 2.7 GW scenario. Regarding the transportation of hydrogen, all options not based on pipelines have proven commercially unviable. The study concludes that economically viable transport via pipeline is possible with the cost of pipeline transport being minor compared to the cost of hydrogen production. With regard to the transport and storage of CO2 captured in the blue hydrogen production process, the study has investigated potential CO2 storage sites with the “Northern Lights” project in Norway and other storage options, e.g. the Porthos project offshore of Rotterdam, of which Northern Lights is the most advanced one. The study concludes that depending on the production capacity, either ships or pipelines may be viable as CO2 transport solutions.
Based on market forecasts by renowned external market analysts, the study estimates a price for blue hydrogen of approximately 2.1 euros per kilogram (corresponding to 58 euros/MWh) based on an expected future and long-term average natural gas price of 23 euros/MWh.
Besides further technical detailing, the study also concludes that the regulatory framework in Germany and the EU would need further clarification to create the basis for potential investment decisions. This includes clarifications related to the conversion of natural gas pipelines to dedicated hydrogen pipelines. It also requires clarification about the transport of hydrogen independent from its production technology. Furthermore, alignment between the Netherlands and Germany on grid development and transport arrangements is required.
Finally, an EU-wide standardized systematic approach to hydrogen, covering all production technologies considering their carbon footprint as well as an amendment of EU legislation on the CO2 transport per ship, would be required.
Going forward, the project partners will elaborate details of potential production sites. The partners will further continue their dialogue with potential CO2 storage facilities including Northern Lights and Porthos. The objective in the upcoming months is to form the basis for potential investment decisions. In this context, it is crucial that the appropriate political and regulatory framework conditions are set to enable the fundamental transformation of an energy-intensive industry exposed to international competition.
Furthermore, funding for CAPEX and OPEX intensive climate-related projects and the climate transformation will be a prerequisite for establishing a market for climate-neutral products. Possible OPEX funding mechanisms could be Carbon Contracts for Difference (CCfD) or incentives for customers to source climate-neutral products.
The H2morrow steel feasibility study concludes that the entire project’s value chain could be established by 2027 at the earliest.